Observe
See the market as it moves
Live Markets places Polymarket UP/DOWN quotes beside Binance spot prices and a chart. Observe; no real order is placed.
How it works
The product
One idea. Two kinds of evidence.
Use recorded markets to test a rule. Then, for compatible rules, watch new virtual results in Portfolio. The two records stay separate.
Explore the product
Four ways to investigate a market
Start with the current market, test a rule against recorded history, compare candidates, then follow a compatible rule with virtual money.
Build
Test the rule in your head
Choose a market, UTC dates, entry conditions and a virtual stake. Builder replays recorded markets and shows the trades behind the result.
How it works
Discover
Search a bounded set of rules
Set a market and narrow the preset rule grid. Compare candidates across time blocks; B4 may reorder the display but never changes candidate selection or the original B1–B3 rank.
How it works
Follow
Watch what happens next
Save a compatible rule as a frozen virtual strategy. Portfolio tracks later paper trades separately from the historical backtest.
How it works
Read the result
The boundary that matters
A smooth historical chart and later virtual trades answer different questions. Keep the label next to the evidence.
Backtest
Builder and Discover apply rules to recorded markets under simulation assumptions. Review the chart, date range, individual trades and available data.
Historical simulationVirtual Portfolio
A compatible, frozen rule follows later markets using virtual money. It creates a separate record and never places a real-money order.
Forward paper observationTry your own idea
Start with a recorded period, inspect the result, then decide whether a compatible rule is worth following virtually.